2025 WSOP Main Event Final Hand: A GTO Analysis

WSOP 2025 Main Event final hand analysis – PokerOffer

The 2025 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event concluded in dramatic fashion in Las Vegas, producing a final hand that will be studied for years. Michael Mizrachi, already a four-time Poker Players Championship winner, captured the game’s most prestigious bracelet and $10,000,000 after defeating recreational player John Wasnock heads-up. Wasnock’s remarkable run ended with a runner-up finish worth $6,000,000 — a life-changing result in its own right.

This decisive hand illustrates the razor-thin margins of elite poker and serves as an excellent case study through the lens of game theory optimal (GTO) analysis.

Preflop: Small Blind Raise vs Big Blind Defense

  • Wasnock (SB): 75,500,000 (30.2bb)
  • Mizrachi (BB): 509,000,000 (203.6bb)
  • Blinds: 1,000,000/2,500,000 with a 2,500,000 big blind ante

From the small blind, Wasnock raised to 5,000,000 holding A♠9♦. While the raise looks standard, GTO principles suggest ace-nine offsuit is often better mixed into a limping range at this stack depth. Raising is not a clear mistake, but it is not the most profitable line.

Mizrachi defended with 10♣3♣, a call fully consistent with optimal play. Every suited hand continues in this spot, making it a straightforward decision.

Flop: A♦9♣7♣

The board hit both players: Wasnock flopped top two pair, while Mizrachi picked up a flush draw.

Mizrachi checked, which fits balanced strategy from the big blind on this texture.

Wasnock checked back, diverging from GTO preferences. With such a strong hand on a draw-heavy board, betting at a high frequency is preferred to build the pot and deny equity to drawing hands.

Turn: 4♣

The turn completed Mizrachi’s flush. He checked again, consistent with balanced play.

Wasnock bet 10,000,000 into 12,500,000. While betting itself is reasonable, the sizing was too large. GTO theory favors a smaller sizing around 40% of the pot, which extracts value while keeping ranges balanced. Nearly pot-sized betting polarizes unnecessarily and plays directly into flush-heavy holdings.

Mizrachi raised to 30,000,000, a sound decision. Medium-strength flushes benefit from fast play, while the strongest can slow-play. His sizing was on the larger side but still within strong theoretical boundaries.

Facing the raise, Wasnock shoved his remaining stack, and Mizrachi snap-called. At this point, both players were aligned with optimal play: ace-nine shoves, and flushes that raise are pure calls.

River: 5♣

The river brought another club, confirming Mizrachi’s victory. He was crowned the 2025 WSOP Main Event champion and collected $10,000,000.

Verdict: Near-Perfect vs Small Leaks

Mizrachi’s decisions were nearly flawless — from defending preflop to checking on flop and turn, raising, and calling — each step aligned closely with GTO strategy.

Wasnock, however, faltered in two areas:

  1. Checking back top two pair on the flop instead of betting.
  2. Using an oversized turn bet, which unbalanced his range and left him vulnerable.

While theory highlights these mistakes, making perfect decisions under the pressure of a $10 million final is another matter entirely. Wasnock’s instincts still carried him to a career-defining result, and his performance remains one of the summer’s standout stories.

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